Stockport Countyvs
Stevenage
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.2%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Stockport County
Stevenage
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Stockport County (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Stockport County Win
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.91
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 10.04
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.0% · actual
2-1
10.0%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.