Stockton Townvs
Ashton United
0 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.5%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +2.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Ashton United (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -26.4
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Ashton United Win
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 3.30
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.