Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Stockton Town badgeStockton TownvsAshton United badgeAshton United

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +2.4%
Our model56.5%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model56.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Ashton United (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market80.0%
Edge
-26.4
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Ashton United Win

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market30.3%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
3.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

7.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.