Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Stockton Town badgeStockton TownvsLeek Town badgeLeek Town

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+7.4 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +7.4%
Our model60.0%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Stockton Town badge

Stockton Town

Attack13
Defence38
Form0
Leek Town badge

Leek Town

Attack39
Defence64
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market71.4%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Leek Town (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Void
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Leek Town Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model23.4%
The market26.9%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
3.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

23.4%

0-0

25.9%

0-2

12.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.