Stockton Townvs
Leek Town
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +7.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Stockton Town
Leek Town
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +3.9
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Leek Town (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Leek Town Win
- Edge
- -6.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.5
- Odds
- 3.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
23.4%
0-0
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.