Premier League 2 Division One badgePremier League 2 Division One · 17 April 2026AI PICK

Stoke City U21 badgeStoke City U21vsAston Villa U21 badgeAston Villa U21

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+6.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +6.3%
Our model60.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 6.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Stoke City U21 badge

Stoke City U21

Attack37
Defence32
Form31
Aston Villa U21 badge

Aston Villa U21

Attack39
Defence51
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model60.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market73.5%
Edge
-18.3
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Stoke City U21 (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Stoke City U21 Win

Miss
Our model46.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.