Premier League 2 Division One badgePremier League 2 Division One · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Stoke City U21 badgeStoke City U21vsBrentford U21 badgeBrentford U21

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
33.3%
Edge
+26.1 pts
Best odds
3.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 3.00

MediumEdge +26.1%
Our model59.4%
The market33.3%

The market underrated this by 26.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model78.5%
The market74.1%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.35

Draw No Bet

Brentford U21 (DNB)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model66.3%
The market56.5%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.77

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +26.1%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market33.3%
Edge
+26.1
Odds
3.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +19.4%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market33.3%
Edge
+19.4
Odds
3.00

Match Winner

Brentford U21 Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market44.4%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.0%
The market18.4%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.0%

0-0

15.1%

1-1

13.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.