Championship badgeChampionship · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Stoke City badgeStoke CityvsCharlton badgeCharlton

4 - 0

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
50.9%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87

LowEdge +3.7%
Our model54.6%
The market50.9%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Stoke City badge

Stoke City

Attack34
Defence56
Form41
Charlton badge

Charlton

Attack43
Defence59
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.8%
The market78.1%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Stoke City (DNB)

Correct
Our model58.5%
The market61.7%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%
Our model54.6%
The market50.9%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.87

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.66

Match Winner

Stoke City Win

Correct
Our model44.0%
The market46.5%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model8.3%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

8.3%

2-1

7.1%

2-0

5.5%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.