Stoke Cityvs
Charlton
4 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 50.9%
- Edge
- +3.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.87
The call, locked before kick-off
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87
The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Stoke City
Charlton
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.3
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Stoke City (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.2
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 1.87
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -3.2
- Odds
- 1.66
Match Winner
Stoke City Win
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 2.15
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.48
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.