Championship badgeChampionship · 21 April 2026AI PICK

Stoke City badgeStoke CityvsMillwall badgeMillwall

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+1.9 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +1.9%
Our model59.7%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Stoke City badge

Stoke City

Attack44
Defence42
Form31
Millwall badge

Millwall

Attack65
Defence69
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market52.4%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Stoke City (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Stoke City Win

Our model41.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.