League Cup badgeLeague Cup · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Stoke City badgeStoke CityvsOldham badgeOldham

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
41.7%
Edge
+12.8 pts
Best odds
2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.40

LowEdge +12.8%
Our model54.5%
The market41.7%

The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Stoke City badge

Stoke City

Attack25
Defence100
Form42
Oldham badge

Oldham

Attack50
Defence43
Form25

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +36.3%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market36.4%
Edge
+36.3
Odds
2.75

Draw No Bet

Oldham (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market41.7%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
2.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Oldham Win

Edge +26.6%Miss
Our model43.3%
The market16.7%
Edge
+26.6
Odds
6.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model13.5%
The market15.5%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.5%

1-1

13.6%

0-0

11.6%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.