Championship · 15 August 2026AI PICK
Stoke Cityvs
Swansea
1 - 2Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 56.4%
- Edge
- +2.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
0 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Stoke City (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
Stoke City Win
- Edge
- -0.4
- Odds
- 2.30
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.7%
0-0
16.7%
1-1
14.9%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.