UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 21 July 2026AI PICK

Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazvsHeart Of Midlothian badgeHeart Of Midlothian

4 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.0%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Sturm Graz Win

Match Winner · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model63.0%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sturm Graz badge

Sturm Graz

Attack96
Defence40
Form59
Heart Of Midlothian badge

Heart Of Midlothian

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.9%
The market84.7%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Sturm Graz (DNB)

Edge +14.3%Correct
Our model71.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sturm Graz Win

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.83

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model57.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 3-1

Close
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-1

8.4%

2-1

7.9%

3-0

7.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.