Sturm Grazvs
Rapid Vienna
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.4%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +7.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectSturm Graz Win
Match Winner · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Sturm Graz (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Sturm Graz Win
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 2.05
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -7.7
- Odds
- 1.67
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -5.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 8.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.