Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazvsRapid Vienna badgeRapid Vienna

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.4%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Sturm Graz Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +7.6%
Our model56.4%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sturm Graz badge

Sturm Graz

Attack59
Defence78
Form60
Rapid Vienna badge

Rapid Vienna

Attack37
Defence48
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Sturm Graz (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sturm Graz Win

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model56.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.1%
The market11.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.1%

1-1

9.7%

2-0

9.7% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.