Premier League Cup badgePremier League Cup · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Sunderland U21 badgeSunderland U21vsBurnley U21 badgeBurnley U21

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.5%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+11.8 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +11.8%
Our model75.5%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 11.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sunderland U21 badge

Sunderland U21

Attack69
Defence52
Form64
Burnley U21 badge

Burnley U21

Attack39
Defence42
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.8%Correct
Our model75.5%
The market63.7%
Edge
+11.8
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model66.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Sunderland U21 Win

Edge +0.2%Miss
Our model61.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Sunderland U21 (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.5%
The market7.4%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.5%

3-1

7.6%

2-0

6.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.