Sunderland U21vs
Burnley U21
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 75.5%
- Market said
- 63.7%
- Edge
- +11.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 11.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Sunderland U21
Burnley U21
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.17
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.8
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.4
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Sunderland U21 Win
- Edge
- +0.2
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Sunderland U21 (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.60
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
6.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.