Sunderlandvs
Fulham
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.7%
- Market said
- 39.7%
- Edge
- +20.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.52
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectSunderland Win
Match Winner · best price 2.52
The market underrated this by 20.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Sunderland
Fulham
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +11.3
- Odds
- 1.42
Draw No Bet
Sunderland (DNB)
- Edge
- +21.6
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Sunderland Win
- Edge
- +20.0
- Odds
- 2.52
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.76
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.04
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.