Premier League badgePremier League · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Sunderland badgeSunderlandvsFulham badgeFulham

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
39.7%
Edge
+20.0 pts
Best odds
2.52

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Sunderland Win

Match Winner · best price 2.52

MediumEdge +20.0%
Our model59.7%
The market39.7%

The market underrated this by 20.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sunderland badge

Sunderland

Attack83
Defence75
Form75
Fulham badge

Fulham

Attack43
Defence48
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model81.7%
The market70.4%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.42

Draw No Bet

Sunderland (DNB)

Edge +21.6%Correct
Our model76.5%
The market54.9%
Edge
+21.6
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Sunderland Win

Edge +20.0%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market39.7%
Edge
+20.0
Odds
2.52

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market46.9%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.76

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.04

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

3-1

8.1%

1-1

7.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.