League Cup badgeLeague Cup · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Sunderland badgeSunderlandvsHull City badgeHull City

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +8.3%
Our model58.6%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sunderland badge

Sunderland

Attack73
Defence94
Form80
Hull City badge

Hull City

Attack43
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.8%
The market83.3%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Sunderland (DNB)

Correct
Our model70.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market50.3%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market53.6%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Sunderland Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market56.5%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.77

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

8.8%

3-1

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.