National League badgeNational League · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Sutton Utd badgeSutton UtdvsHartlepool badgeHartlepool

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
57.3%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +1.1%
Our model58.4%
The market57.3%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sutton Utd badge

Sutton Utd

Attack63
Defence84
Form74
Hartlepool badge

Hartlepool

Attack54
Defence33
Form75

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model67.4%
The market70.4%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
1.42

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market57.3%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Sutton Utd (DNB)

Edge +4.6%Correct
Our model56.4%
The market51.8%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.93

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market61.1%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Sutton Utd Win

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model42.3%
The market38.2%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
2.62

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.8% · actual

1-1

9.5%

2-2

7.0%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.