Swanseavs
Southampton
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.9%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +19.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 19.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Swansea
Southampton
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.20
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.3
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +10.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Swansea (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Swansea Win
- Edge
- -15.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.