Championship badgeChampionship · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Swansea badgeSwanseavsSouthampton badgeSouthampton

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.9%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+19.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +19.3%
Our model74.9%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 19.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Swansea badge

Swansea

Attack57
Defence48
Form53
Southampton badge

Southampton

Attack92
Defence90
Form91

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.3%Correct
Our model74.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+19.3
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.2%Correct
Our model68.0%
The market57.8%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Swansea (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Swansea Win

Our model34.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-15.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.