Championship · 1 September 2026AI PICK
Swanseavs
Watford
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.0%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +6.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Swansea
Watford
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 1.27
Draw No Bet
Swansea (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.48
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 2.10
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Swansea Win
- Edge
- -3.5
- Odds
- 1.88
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 7.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.1%
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.