World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 15 June 2026AI PICK

Sweden badgeSwedenvsTunisia badgeTunisia

5 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.2%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+13.3 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

High confidenceEdge +13.3%
Our model73.2%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sweden badge

Sweden

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Tunisia badge

Tunisia

Attack10
Defence47
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Sweden (DNB)

Edge +17.9%Correct
Our model75.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.3%Miss
Our model73.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Sweden Win

Edge +12.7%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.7%
Our model64.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model25.9%
The market22.5%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
4.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

25.9%

2-0

18.6%

0-0

15.4%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.