League Two badgeLeague Two · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Swindon Town badgeSwindon TownvsCheltenham badgeCheltenham

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model59.4%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Swindon Town badge

Swindon Town

Attack72
Defence35
Form42
Cheltenham badge

Cheltenham

Attack62
Defence40
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
-13.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market53.5%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Swindon Town (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.7%
The market67.1%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.49

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market56.0%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Swindon Town Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1% · actual

1-1

10.8%

1-2

7.2%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.