League Two badgeLeague Two · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Swindon Town badgeSwindon TownvsColchester badgeColchester

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +8.6%
Our model61.2%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Swindon Town badge

Swindon Town

Attack66
Defence38
Form49
Colchester badge

Colchester

Attack57
Defence53
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.0%
Our model69.5%
The market68.5%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.46

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market52.6%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Swindon Town (DNB)

Edge +7.8%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market50.8%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
1.97

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Swindon Town Win

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model43.2%
The market40.2%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.49

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

10.8%

1-2

7.2%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.