League Two badgeLeague Two · 1 September 2026AI PICK

Swindon Town badgeSwindon TownvsPort Vale badgePort Vale

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+11.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.3%
Our model61.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 11.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Swindon Town badge

Swindon Town

Attack74
Defence36
Form48
Port Vale badge

Port Vale

Attack65
Defence61
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model80.7%
The market79.4%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Port Vale (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.4%
The market61.3%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.63

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market56.8%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.76

Match Winner

Port Vale Win

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market48.3%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
2.07

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.89

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.8%

1-1

9.9%

1-2

7.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.