Australia Cup badgeAustralia Cup · 22 July 2026AI PICK

Sydney United badgeSydney UnitedvsCentral Coast Mariners badgeCentral Coast Mariners

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
37.3%
Edge
+18.5 pts
Best odds
2.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.62

MediumEdge +18.5%
Our model55.8%
The market37.3%

The market underrated this by 18.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sydney United badge

Sydney United

Attack36
Defence100
Form53
Central Coast Mariners badge

Central Coast Mariners

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Draw No Bet

Central Coast Mariners (DNB)

Void
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.5%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market37.3%
Edge
+18.5
Odds
2.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Our model55.3%
The market68.7%
Edge
-13.4
Odds
1.44

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Central Coast Mariners Win

Miss
Our model39.2%
The market43.5%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.46

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.2%

1-1

14.8% · actual

0-0

10.8%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.