Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Tacuarembo badgeTacuarembovsCA River Plate badgeCA River Plate

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model55.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tacuarembo badge

Tacuarembo

Attack34
Defence48
Form36
CA River Plate badge

CA River Plate

Attack64
Defence34
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model73.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

CA River Plate (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

CA River Plate Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model12.0%
The market13.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

10.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.