Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 20 June 2026AI PICK

Tacuarembo badgeTacuarembovsPaysandu badgePaysandu

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model67.7%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tacuarembo badge

Tacuarembo

Attack43
Defence47
Form36
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Paysandu

Attack39
Defence42
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.5%
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Tacuarembo (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tacuarembo Win

Edge +6.7%Correct
Our model52.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model16.9%
The market14.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.9% · actual

0-1

14.2%

0-0

11.5%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.