Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Tacuary badgeTacuaryvsFernando De La Mora badgeFernando De La Mora

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+20.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +20.5%
Our model73.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 20.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tacuary badge

Tacuary

Attack24
Defence38
Form13
Fernando De La Mora badge

Fernando De La Mora

Attack16
Defence62
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.5%Close
Our model73.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+20.5
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +17.3%Miss
Our model71.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+17.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Tacuary (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tacuary Win

Miss
Our model42.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model31.9%
The market27.7%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
3.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

31.9%

1-0

24.7%

0-1

14.7%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.