USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Tampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay RowdiesvsLexington badgeLexington

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.8%
Market said
55.5%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +8.3%
Our model63.8%
The market55.5%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack64
Defence100
Form76
Lexington badge

Lexington

Attack80
Defence53
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model71.6%
The market83.3%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.3%Correct
Our model63.8%
The market55.5%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Lexington (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market56.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Lexington Win

Edge +15.3%Correct
Our model36.4%
The market21.1%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
4.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.