USL Championship · 2 August 2026AI PICK
Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Louisville City
5 - 4Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.9%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +15.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 15.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Louisville City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -7.2
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.1
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Tampa Bay Rowdies Win
- Edge
- -10.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.