USL Championship · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Tampa Bay Rowdiesvs
Phoenix Rising
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.7%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +8.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Phoenix Rising
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Tampa Bay Rowdies Win
- Edge
- -13.3
- Odds
- 1.53
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.34
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.