USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Tampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay RowdiesvsRhode Island badgeRhode Island

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
54.4%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model58.4%
The market54.4%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack79
Defence63
Form73
Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack57
Defence68
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market85.5%
Edge
-13.4
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Tampa Bay Rowdies (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Close
Our model58.4%
The market54.4%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market56.2%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies Win

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

8.8%

3-1

6.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.