Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 24 April 2026AI PICK

Tapatío badgeTapatíovsCancún badgeCancún

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.1%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+19.5 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +19.5%
Our model75.1%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 19.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tapatío badge

Tapatío

Attack70
Defence43
Form51
Cancún badge

Cancún

Attack56
Defence62
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.5%Close
Our model75.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
+19.5
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.5%Correct
Our model68.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Tapatío (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tapatío Win

Miss
Our model45.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.