Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Tapatío badgeTapatíovsCDS Tampico Madero badgeCDS Tampico Madero

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
55.1%
Edge
+2.3 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +2.3%
Our model57.4%
The market55.1%

The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tapatío badge

Tapatío

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
CDS Tampico Madero badge

CDS Tampico Madero

Attack21
Defence79
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model80.8%
The market66.7%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Tapatío (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market55.1%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market50.3%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Tapatío Win

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model49.5%
The market38.5%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model15.1%
The market17.4%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.1% · actual

1-1

13.2%

0-0

12.6%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.