Liga de Expansión MX · 6 September 2026AI PICK
Tapatíovs
Leones Negros UDG
1 - 3Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 55.9%
- Edge
- +2.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.79
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.79
The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Tapatío
Leones Negros UDG
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.24
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.79
Draw No Bet
Tapatío (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 1.66
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.0
- Odds
- 1.63
Match Winner
Tapatío Win
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 2.07
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.