Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Tarazona badgeTarazonavsGimnastic badgeGimnastic

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+2.3 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +2.3%
Our model67.7%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tarazona badge

Tarazona

Attack40
Defence48
Form33
Gimnastic badge

Gimnastic

Attack40
Defence48
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Tarazona Win

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Tarazona (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Close
Our model17.0%
The market14.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.0%

0-1

15.5%

0-0

12.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.