Derde Divisie - Saturday badgeDerde Divisie - Saturday · 23 May 2026AI PICK

TEC badgeTECvsHercules badgeHercules

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+21.2 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +21.2%
Our model73.8%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 21.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

TEC badge

TEC

Attack48
Defence42
Form38
Hercules badge

Hercules

Attack64
Defence59
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.2%Miss
Our model73.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+21.2
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.4%Miss
Our model68.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+14.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

TEC (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

TEC Win

Our model38.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-2

7.2%

2-1

6.9%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.