Tekstilshchikvs
Arsenal Tula
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 55.9%
- Edge
- +5.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.79
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.79
The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Tekstilshchik
Arsenal Tula
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +8.4
- Odds
- 1.38
Draw No Bet
Arsenal Tula (DNB)
- Edge
- +15.9
- Odds
- 1.74
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.3
- Odds
- 1.79
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 1.94
Match Winner
Arsenal Tula Win
- Edge
- +9.1
- Odds
- 2.30
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
14.6%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.7%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.