Cup badgeCup · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Tekstilshchik badgeTekstilshchikvsArsenal Tula badgeArsenal Tula

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
55.9%
Edge
+5.3 pts
Best odds
1.79

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.79

MediumEdge +5.3%
Our model61.2%
The market55.9%

The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tekstilshchik badge

Tekstilshchik

Attack24
Defence48
Form26
Arsenal Tula badge

Arsenal Tula

Attack38
Defence46
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model80.9%
The market72.5%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.38

Draw No Bet

Arsenal Tula (DNB)

Edge +15.9%Miss
Our model73.4%
The market57.5%
Edge
+15.9
Odds
1.74

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market55.9%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
1.79

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market51.5%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

Arsenal Tula Win

Edge +9.1%Miss
Our model52.6%
The market43.5%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model14.6%
The market16.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.6%

0-0

15.2%

1-1

14.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.