Telstarvs
Ajax
0 - 4Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 58.2%
- Markets called
- 4 of 5 right
- Final score
- 0 - 4
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.33
MediumEdge -11.4%
Our model58.2%
The market69.6%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Telstar
Attack49
Defence43
Form33
Ajax
Attack57
Defence78
Form69
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model78.8%
The market83.3%
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 1.20
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model58.2%
The market69.6%
- Edge
- -11.4
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Ajax (DNB)
Correct
Our model54.8%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- -20.4
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model53.9%
The market66.7%
- Edge
- -12.8
- Odds
- 1.42
Match Winner
Ajax Win
Correct
Our model43.2%
The market62.5%
- Edge
- -19.3
- Odds
- 1.60
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.