Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 1 May 2026AI PICK

Tenerife badgeTenerifevsBarakaldo badgeBarakaldo

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+10.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Tenerife Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +10.1%
Our model60.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tenerife badge

Tenerife

Attack56
Defence89
Form58
Barakaldo badge

Barakaldo

Attack50
Defence68
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

Tenerife Win

Edge +10.1%Correct
Our model60.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market44.4%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Tenerife (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Close
Our model50.5%
The market46.5%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
2.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.