Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Tepatitlán badgeTepatitlánvsAtlante FC badgeAtlante FC

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.7%
Market said
54.9%
Edge
+10.8 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +10.8%
Our model65.7%
The market54.9%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tepatitlán badge

Tepatitlán

Attack52
Defence85
Form58
Atlante FC badge

Atlante FC

Attack56
Defence66
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market77.5%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.8%Close
Our model65.7%
The market54.9%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
1.82

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model65.0%
The market59.5%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

Tepatitlán Win

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Tepatitlán (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.