Liga de Expansión MX · 8 August 2026AI PICK
Tepatitlánvs
CA La Paz
0 - 5Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +0.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Tepatitlán
CA La Paz
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Draw No Bet
Tepatitlán (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -34.1
- Odds
- 1.14
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Tepatitlán Win
- Edge
- -19.2
- Odds
- 1.60
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
13.4%
1-2
7.7%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.