Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Tepatitlán badgeTepatitlánvsDorados badgeDorados

1 - 4
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
46.4%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +8.2%
Our model54.6%
The market46.4%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tepatitlán badge

Tepatitlán

Attack22
Defence26
Form17
Dorados badge

Dorados

Attack51
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.5%
Our model82.8%
The market81.3%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.23

Draw No Bet

Tepatitlán (DNB)

Miss
Our model58.3%
The market64.5%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.55

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.2%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market46.4%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market49.2%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.96

Match Winner

Tepatitlán Win

Miss
Our model48.3%
The market51.8%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.93

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.