Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Tepatitlán badgeTepatitlánvsMineros de Zacatecas badgeMineros de Zacatecas

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Tepatitlán Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model60.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tepatitlán badge

Tepatitlán

Attack50
Defence100
Form62
Mineros de Zacatecas badge

Mineros de Zacatecas

Attack41
Defence53
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Match Winner

Tepatitlán Win

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market56.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.77

Draw No Bet

Tepatitlán (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model52.9%
The market53.2%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.88

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.