Liga de Expansión MX · 21 August 2026AI PICK
Tepatitlánvs
Tlaxcala
3 - 2Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 81.5%
- Market said
- 52.3%
- Edge
- +29.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.86
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86
The market underrated this by 29.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Tepatitlán
Tlaxcala
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +14.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Tlaxcala (DNB)
- Edge
- +28.2
- Odds
- 1.77
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +29.2
- Odds
- 1.86
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 1.66
Match Winner
Tlaxcala Win
- Edge
- +18.7
- Odds
- 3.26
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.9
- Odds
- 3.38
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
25.7%
0-0
23.4%
0-2
16.1%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.