Serie D - Girone F badgeSerie D - Girone F · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Termoli Calcio badgeTermoli CalciovsNotaresco badgeNotaresco

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+20.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +20.5%
Our model73.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 20.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Termoli Calcio badge

Termoli Calcio

Attack24
Defence100
Form44
Notaresco badge

Notaresco

Attack45
Defence78
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.5%Close
Our model73.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+20.5
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Notaresco Win

Correct
Our model45.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Notaresco (DNB)

Correct
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model42.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-11.9
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.