Teruelvs
Real Madrid II
0 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.2%
- Market said
- 50.3%
- Edge
- +7.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +9.3
- Odds
- 1.38
Draw No Bet
Real Madrid II (DNB)
- Edge
- +19.6
- Odds
- 1.97
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 2.08
Match Winner
Real Madrid II Win
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 2.52
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 4.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
18.3%
0-0
18.1% · actual
1-1
13.5%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.