Thor Akureyrivs
FH hafnarfjordur
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 36.4%
- Edge
- +18.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.69
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.69
The market underrated this by 18.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Thor Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.24
Draw No Bet
FH hafnarfjordur (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +18.2
- Odds
- 2.69
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.2
- Odds
- 2.49
Match Winner
FH hafnarfjordur Win
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 2.06
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.34
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
6.1%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.