Úrvalsdeild badgeÚrvalsdeild · 23 April 2026AI PICK

Thor Akureyri badgeThor AkureyrivsFram Reykjavik badgeFram Reykjavik

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
85.8%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+19.1 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +19.1%
Our model85.8%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 19.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Thor Akureyri badge

Thor Akureyri

Attack100
Defence44
Form63
Fram Reykjavik badge

Fram Reykjavik

Attack89
Defence36
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.1%Miss
Our model85.8%
The market66.7%
Edge
+19.1
Odds
1.50

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.5%Miss
Our model74.2%
The market66.7%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Thor Akureyri Win

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Thor Akureyri (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.