CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 28 July 2026AI PICK
Tigrevs
Club Nacional
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.8%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +3.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Tigre
Club Nacional
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +15.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Club Nacional (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Club Nacional Win
- Edge
- +10.6
- Odds
- 3.60
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.7%
1-1
15.2%
0-0
14.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.