Primera B badgePrimera B · 24 July 2026AI PICK

Tigres FC badgeTigres FCvsLeones FC badgeLeones FC

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +2.7%
Our model69.4%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tigres FC badge

Tigres FC

Attack46
Defence55
Form42
Leones FC badge

Leones FC

Attack34
Defence36
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Tigres FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tigres FC Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model16.5%
The market19.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.5%

0-0

18.2%

1-1

14.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.