Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Tirol/CEFAT badgeTirol/CEFATvsFluminense PI badgeFluminense PI

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.8%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model62.8%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tirol/CEFAT badge

Tirol/CEFAT

Attack31
Defence38
Form23
Fluminense PI badge

Fluminense PI

Attack45
Defence46
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model62.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.1%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Tirol/CEFAT (DNB)

Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tirol/CEFAT Win

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model43.7%
The market39.2%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.5%
The market16.1%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.5%

1-0

15.2%

0-0

14.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.