Liga de Expansión MX · 25 July 2026AI PICK
Tlaxcalavs
Leones Negros UDG
2 - 4Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.5%
- Market said
- 50.7%
- Edge
- +4.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Tlaxcala
Leones Negros UDG
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Tlaxcala (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Tlaxcala Win
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.90
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1%
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.